Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.875662 1.023245 1.187853 1.385050 1.614896 1.874390 2.189702
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.634225 0.828130 1.069123 1.390641 1.808562 2.333801 3.044896
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.498460 0.704386 0.980799 1.378942 1.938191 2.696696 3.805667
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.410567 0.618679 0.916053 1.371914 2.053856 3.037779 4.568999
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.352065 0.560804 0.875620 1.384892 2.189307 3.413557 5.424287
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.293654 0.491572 0.804831 1.336564 2.218290 3.625738 6.051448
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.274704 0.481106 0.822459 1.427814 2.476997 4.225952 7.375251
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.235879 0.430804 0.766584 1.386751 2.506611 4.449966 8.094478
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.202847 0.385306 0.711823 1.338255 2.513673 4.631584 8.757354
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.176277 0.347462 0.665011 1.296477 2.524973 4.818338 9.448869
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.161988 0.330685 0.654443 1.320485 2.661363 5.249834 10.656457
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.156795 0.330935 0.676121 1.409546 2.934920 5.974858 12.532494
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.146303 0.319398 0.673938 1.452283 3.125326 6.568854 14.243610
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.133505 0.301263 0.656071 1.460363 3.245885 7.038803 15.766840
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.120612 0.280953 0.630677 1.448204 3.320199 7.419114 17.145094
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.109686 0.263450 0.608927 1.440831 3.403469 7.828141 18.642087
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.101522 0.251161 0.597143 1.454459 3.536191 8.363440 20.502816
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.090057 0.229295 0.560316 1.403709 3.509791 8.528998 21.505966
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.088702 0.232185 0.582567 1.499532 3.851907 9.607705 24.891650
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.079564 0.213993 0.550997 1.456412 3.841301 9.829113 26.150249
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.071055 0.196229 0.518159 1.405486 3.803635 9.977905 27.241324
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.063827 0.180871 0.489491 1.361613 3.778515 10.155268 28.432869
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.060407 0.175521 0.486495 1.386825 3.943416 10.851015 31.133287